{"id":133759,"date":"2026-10-01T20:11:29","date_gmt":"2026-10-01T23:11:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blogdoedvaldomagalhaes.com.br\/?p=133759"},"modified":"2026-10-01T20:21:17","modified_gmt":"2026-10-01T23:21:17","slug":"pesquisa-datafolha-lula-42-e-flavio-bolsonaro-38","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogdoedvaldomagalhaes.com.br\/index.php\/2026\/10\/01\/pesquisa-datafolha-lula-42-e-flavio-bolsonaro-38\/","title":{"rendered":"Pesquisa Datafolha: Lula, 42% e Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro, 38%"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pesquisa Datafolha divulgada nesta quinta-feira (1\u00ba), a tr\u00eas dias do primeiro turno da elei\u00e7\u00e3o, mostra Lula (PT) com 42% das inten\u00e7\u00f5es de voto e Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro (PL) com 38%. No levantamento anterior, ambos tinham dois pontos a menos: 40% e 36%, respectivamente.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Na compara\u00e7\u00e3o com o levantamento anterior, realizado na semana passada, Lula avan\u00e7ou com mais intensidade entre os eleitores com 60 anos ou mais (de 42% para 49%), no Sudeste (de 35% para 40%) e entre os cat\u00f3licos (de 45% para 50%).&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O candidato do PL, por sua vez, avan\u00e7ou mais entre os eleitores com renda de 2 a 5 sal\u00e1rios m\u00ednimos (de 40% para 47%) e entre os evang\u00e9licos (de 47% para 52%).&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Lula (PT): 42% (eram 40%)&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro (PL): 38% (eram 36%)&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Escritor Augusto Cury (Avante): 4% (eram 5%)&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Ronaldo Caiado (PSD): 3% (eram 4%)&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Renan Santos (Miss\u00e3o): 3% (eram 3%)&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Romeu Zema (Novo): 1% (era 1%)&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Samara Martins (UP): 1% (era 1%)&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Veterin\u00e1rio Wilson Grassi (Democrata): 1% (era zero)&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Edmilson Costa (PCB): 0 (era zero)&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO): 0 (era zero)&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Leonardo Avalanche (PRTB): 0 (era zero)*&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Clariana Bar\u00e3o (DC): 0 (era zero)&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Hertz Dias (PSTU): 0 (era zero)&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Em branco\/nulo\/nenhum: 5% (eram 5%)&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Indecisos: 2% (eram 2%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"content-text__container wp-block-paragraph\">O Datafolha ouviu 2.506 pessoas de 16 anos ou mais entre os dias 28 e 30 de setembro. A margem de erro \u00e9 de 2 pontos percentuais, para mais ou para menos, e o n\u00edvel de confian\u00e7a \u00e9 de 95%. O n\u00famero de registro no TSE \u00e9 BR- BR-08039\/2026.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"content-text__container wp-block-paragraph\">O instituto divulgou tamb\u00e9m os&nbsp;<strong>votos v\u00e1lidos<\/strong>. Para chegar a esse n\u00famero, s\u00e3o exclu\u00eddos os votos nulos, em branco e os indecisos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list content-unordered-list\">\n<li>Lula (PT): 45%&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro (PL): 40%&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Escritor Augusto Cury (Avante): 4%&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Ronaldo Caiado (PSD): 3%&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Renan Santos (Miss\u00e3o): 3%&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Romeu Zema (Novo): 1%&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Samara Martins (UP): 1%&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Veterin\u00e1rio Wilson Grassi (Democrata): 1%&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Edmilson Costa (PCB): 0&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO): 0&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Hertz Dias (PSTU): 0&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Clariana Bar\u00e3o (DC): 0&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Leonardo Avalanche (PRTB): 0&nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Defini\u00e7\u00e3o do voto&nbsp;<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O Datafolha mostra tamb\u00e9m que 78% dos eleitores est\u00e3o totalmente decididos sobre a escolha do candidato a presidente, e que 19% ainda podem mudar o voto.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Entre os eleitores de Lula, 88% est\u00e3o totalmente decididos. Esse \u00edndice \u00e9 de 85% entre os eleitores de Fl\u00e1vio.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Pesquisa espont\u00e2nea&nbsp;<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Veja abaixo os n\u00fameros da pesquisa espont\u00e2nea, em que o instituto n\u00e3o mostra os nomes dos candidatos aos eleitores entrevistados. Entre par\u00eanteses, o resultado da pesquisa anterior.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list content-unordered-list\">\n<li>Lula (PT): 39% (eram 36%)&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro (PL): 31% (eram 27%)&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Jair Bolsonaro (PL): 4% (eram 4%)&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Escritor Augusto Cury (Avante): 2% (eram 3%)&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Renan Santos (Miss\u00e3o): 2% (eram 2%)&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Ronaldo Caiado (PSD): 2% (eram 2%)&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Outras respostas: 2% (eram 2%)&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Em branco\/nulo\/nenhum: 5% (eram 5%)&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Indecisos: 13% (eram 18%)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u00cdndice de rejei\u00e7\u00e3o dos candidatos&nbsp;<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O Datafolha perguntou aos eleitores em quem eles n\u00e3o votariam de jeito nenhum no 1\u00ba turno. Os n\u00fameros:&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list content-unordered-list\">\n<li>Lula (PT): 45% (eram 45%)&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro (PL): 45% (eram 45%)&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Renan Santos (Miss\u00e3o): 16% (eram 15%)&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Romeu Zema (Novo): 15% (eram 14%)&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Ronaldo Caiado (PSD): 14% (eram 13%)&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO): 11% (eram 9%)&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Escritor Augusto Cury (Avante): 11% (eram 8%)&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Edmilson Costa (PCB): 9% (eram 8%)&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Samara Martins (UP): 9% (eram 9%)&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Leonardo Avalanche (PRTB): 8% (eram 7%)&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Hertz Dias (PSTU):7% (eram 7%)&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Clariana Bar\u00e3o (DC): 7% (eram 7%)&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Veterin\u00e1rio Wilson Grassi (Democrata): 7% (eram 5%)&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Votaria em qualquer um\/n\u00e3o rejeita nenhum: 2% (eram 2%)&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Rejeita todos\/n\u00e3o votaria em nenhum: 1% (eram 2%)&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>N\u00e3o sabe: 3% (eram 3%)&nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Cen\u00e1rios de 2\u00ba turno&nbsp;<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Veja abaixo os n\u00fameros das quatro simula\u00e7\u00f5es de 2\u00ba turno.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Lula x Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro&nbsp;<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list content-unordered-list\">\n<li>Lula (PT): 48% (eram 47%)&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro (PL): 45% (eram 45%)&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Em branco\/nulo\/nenhum: 6% (eram 7%)&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Indecisos: 1% (era 1%)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Lula x Ronaldo Caiado&nbsp;<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list content-unordered-list\">\n<li>Lula (PT): 48% (eram 46%)&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Ronaldo Caiado (PSD): 42% (eram 44%)&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Em branco\/nulo\/nenhum: 9% (eram 9%)&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Indecisos: 1% (era 1%)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Lula x Romeu Zema&nbsp;<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list content-unordered-list\">\n<li>Lula (PT): 49% (eram 48%)&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Romeu Zema (Novo): 40% (eram 39%)&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Em branco\/nulo\/nenhum: 9% (eram 11%)&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Indecisos: 2% (era 1%)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Lula x Renan Santos&nbsp;<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list content-unordered-list\">\n<li>Lula (PT): 48% (eram 48%)&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Renan Santos (Miss\u00e3o): 39% (eram 39%)&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Em branco\/nulo\/nenhum: 10% (eram 12%)&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Indecisos: 2% (eram 2%)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Lula x Augusto Cury&nbsp;<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list content-unordered-list\">\n<li>Lula (PT): 47% (eram 46%)&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Augusto Cury (Avante): 42% (eram 43%)&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Em branco\/nulo\/nenhum: 9% (eram 9%)&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Indecisos: 2% (era 1%)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Avalia\u00e7\u00e3o e aprova\u00e7\u00e3o do governo&nbsp;<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O Datafolha tamb\u00e9m ouviu os entrevistados sobre o governo Lula, que completou tr\u00eas anos e oito meses.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Aprova\u00e7\u00e3o do governo&nbsp;<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list content-unordered-list\">\n<li>Desaprova: 49% (eram 50% na pesquisa anterior)&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Aprova: 48% (eram 47%)&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>N\u00e3o sabe: 3% (eram 3%)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Avalia\u00e7\u00e3o do governo&nbsp;<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list content-unordered-list\">\n<li>Ruim\/p\u00e9ssimo: 41% (eram 40%)&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u00d3timo\/bom: 35% (eram 34%)&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Regular: 23% (eram 24%)&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>N\u00e3o sabe: 1% (eram 2%)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Fonte: G1<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Fotos: Reprodu\u00e7\u00e3o\/Videos <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Pesquisa Datafolha divulgada nesta quinta-feira (1\u00ba), a tr\u00eas dias do primeiro turno da elei\u00e7\u00e3o, mostra Lula (PT) com 42% das&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":133760,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[14122],"tags":[30253,36938,13146,37024,12075,36989],"class_list":["post-133759","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-politica","tag-blog-caruaru","tag-blog-de-politica","tag-blog-edvaldo-magalhaes","tag-flavio-bolsonaro","tag-lula","tag-portal-edivaldo-magalhaes"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogdoedvaldomagalhaes.com.br\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/133759","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogdoedvaldomagalhaes.com.br\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogdoedvaldomagalhaes.com.br\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogdoedvaldomagalhaes.com.br\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogdoedvaldomagalhaes.com.br\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=133759"}],"version-history":[{"count":12,"href":"https:\/\/blogdoedvaldomagalhaes.com.br\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/133759\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":133772,"href":"https:\/\/blogdoedvaldomagalhaes.com.br\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/133759\/revisions\/133772"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogdoedvaldomagalhaes.com.br\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/133760"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogdoedvaldomagalhaes.com.br\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=133759"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogdoedvaldomagalhaes.com.br\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=133759"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogdoedvaldomagalhaes.com.br\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=133759"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}